Saturday, December 20, 2008

Obama Watch - the stimulus plan

Stimulus plan to be ready to sign after the inauguration - maybe.

From the NYT 12/20/08, expect to see some of this included.

It will be for about $1 trillion for a two-year program. Only items that "spend out quickly, create jobs and constitute sound national policy" will be considered.

The plan will involve these areas:

1. health care financing: about a fifth of the package
• Up to $100 billion to subsidize the states’ Medicaid caseloads
• a down payment on the $50 billion to help medical providers buy information technology and save costs on health records. {Not the most progressive answer to cutting health care costs - wonder who he owes this to?}

2. Tax relief: roughly $200 billion in tax relief for low-wage and middle-class workers, including a payroll tax holiday to "fatten paychecks and encourage Americans to spend more and spur economic activity". {We are to go back to buying in order to save the economy?}

3. Energy-saving programs

4. Public works projects, school construction and renovation,

5. Expanded jobless aid and food stamps

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Myth-building on housing crisis

The Republicans are well on the way to a rewrite of history on what caused the housing crisis.

Case in point: Housing Goals We Can’t Afford by HOWARD HUSOCK
He writes: "The Community Reinvestment Act was passed in 1977 when bank competition was sharply limited by law and lenders had little incentive to seek out business in lower-income neighborhoods. But in 1995 the Clinton administration added tough new regulations. The federal government required banks that wanted “outstanding” ratings under the act to demonstrate, numerically, that they were lending both in poor neighborhoods and to lower-income households."

Hmm. The way I understood it was that the CRA forced banks to stop discriminating and redlining.

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

How much are Auto CEO's offering to give up? Not Much!

In order to get their billions from the US taxpayer, The Big Three CEOs and in some cases the Directors, are offering to reduce their 2009 salaries to $1. To find out how much this would actually cost them, I did a little research.

What is the compensation for auto industry executives?
In 2006, the CEOs of Chrysler Group, Ford and GM earned a combined total of $24.5 million in salaries, bonuses and other compensation in 2006. The next four highest paid executives received average salary and other compensation of $1.3 million at Ford and $1.4 million at GM.

Looks like they will lose a few million each. But, are they planning to forego all compensation except $1, or only salary? Or salary and bonuses? What about stocks and stock options that were also part of executive compensation, which were not included in the figures above.

We can see more clearly what else they might give up in these figures for Ford’s top 5 employees, from Ford’s Annual Report for 2007.

• Alan Mulally, Ford president and chief executive officer, earned $2,000,000 in salary and received incentive bonus awards of $7 million. His total 2007 compensation was $21,670,674, which includes salary, bonuses, the Company-recognized expense for stock options and other stock-based awards, as well as all other compensation. His salary, in other words, was a mere 9.23% of his total compensation.
• Don Leclair, Ford executive vice president and chief financial officer, earned $1,005,633 in salary and received incentive bonus awards of $3 million. His 2007 compensation totaled $11,703,127. (Salary was 8.6%)
• Mark Fields, Ford executive vice president and president, The Americas, earned $1,255,634 in salary and received incentive bonus awards of $2,850,000. His 2007 compensation totaled $8,389,898. (15%)
• Lewis Booth, Ford executive vice president, Ford of Europe and Premier Automotive Group, earned $868,133 in salary and received incentive bonus awards of $2,250,000. His 2007 compensation totaled $10,264,463. (8.46%)
• Mike Bannister, Ford executive vice president and CEO, Ford Motor Credit Company earned $708,700 in salary and received incentive bonus awards of $2,150,000. His 2007 compensation totaled $8,677,747. (8.17%)

In other words in 2007, while salary and bonuses were approximately $6 million dollars, this represented only 8-15% of the total compensation they received for their year’s efforts. These top 5 Ford employees actually received approximately $60.72 million in total compensation. For the same period GM’s top 2 earned $15.7 million for 2007, up 64 percent from the previous year, (while GM lost a record $38.7 billion). Because Chrysler is privately owned it does not have to publish this information - but I imagine the figures are much the same.

How much of this total compensation are the CEO’s offering to give up? That is not clear!

Just for comparison, what else could these dollars cover?
If you divided the $60.72 million compensation paid to Ford’s top 5 between the approximately 245,000 employees worldwide they would each receive an additional $24,836.74 each. A nice additional annual wage for many of them. In fact, paying every single one of Ford's employees as much as the best paid UAW-represented skilled-trades workers ($67,225 /yr) would cost the company a mere $16.4 million. That's less than three-quarters of Mulally's take home pay!

What were the “Labor costs” which the Republicans are so anxious to reduce?
Wage rates for 2006, according to the UAW, which covers about 721,025 employees at the big 3, were as follows;
• A typical UAW-represented assembler at GM earned $27.81 per hour of straight-time labor. ($58,240/yr)
• A typical UAW-represented skilled-trades worker at GM earned $32.32 per hour of straight-time labor. ($67,225 /yr)

In addition to regular hourly pay, labor cost figures include overtime, shift premiums and the costs of negotiated benefits such as holidays, vacations, health care, pensions and education and training. It also includes statutory costs, which employers are required to pay by law, such as federal contributions for Social Security and Medicare, and state payments to workers’ compensation and unemployment insurance funds. The highest figures sometimes cited also include the benefit costs of retirees who are no longer on the payroll.

How much value do UAW members contribute to their employers?
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the typical autoworker produces value added worth $206 per worker per hour. This is far more than he or she earns in wages, even when benefits, statutory contributions and other costs are included.

How much are labor costs in relation to the total price of a new vehicle?
The total labor cost of a new vehicle produced in the United States is about $2,400 which includes direct, indirect and salaried labor for engines, stamping and assembly at the automakers’ plants. This represents 8.4 percent of the typical $28,4513 price of a new vehicle in 2006. The vast majority of the costs of producing a vehicle and transporting it to a dealership and preparing it for sale – including design, engineering, marketing, raw materials, executive compensation and other costs – are not related to direct or indirect manufacturing labor.

So this is what the Republicans are so keen to destroy - a union-negotiated wage which provides a decent income to automobile workers, while preserving the obscene compensation packages of the grossly overpaid executives. What a bill of goods!

Saturday, November 8, 2008

Changing generations

For all the moving photos of the campaign trail, of the rally at Grant Park, and of the headlines around the world, the most moving photo for me was the photo in the New York Times on November 5, of ""Latrice Barnes and her daughter.

Judith Warner wrote of this photo in the same paper the following day: "For me, this will be the enduring memory of election night 2008: One generation released its grief. The next looked up confusedly, eager to please and yet unable to comprehend just what the tears were about."

Barack Obama is right. Younger people are indeed growing up in a world of new sensibilities!

now for some good economics maybe?

“We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals; we know now that it is bad economics”
Franklin Delano Roosevelt

To which Paul Krugman adds:
And right now happens to be one of those times when the converse is also true, and good morals are good economics. Helping the neediest in a time of crisis, through expanded health and unemployment benefits, is the morally right thing to do; it’s also a far more effective form of economic stimulus than cutting the capital gains tax. Providing aid to beleaguered state and local governments, so that they can sustain essential public services, is important for those who depend on those services; it’s also a way to avoid job losses and limit the depth of the economy’s slump. So a serious progressive agenda — call it a new New Deal — isn’t just economically possible, it’s exactly what the economy needs.


I am SO glad to hear that!

Keeping a list

of items I want to action on in an Obama administration

Supreme Court items to watch out for include:
* Roe v Wade
* National security - guantanamo
* Church-state separation
* Gay rights
* Affirmative action
* Electoral issues - gerrymandering, FEC
* First Amendment protection

Then there is the whole matter of the corruption of the judiciary by the Republicans - can we reclaim the benches?

New York Times catches up

See my posts on this dated September 20 2008

From the New York Times, November 7, 2008

Georgia Claims on Russia War Called Into Question
By C. J. CHIVERS and ELLEN BARRY
Newly available accounts raise questions about the accuracy and honesty of Georgia’s insistence that it acted defensively against Russian aggression.